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Australian rugby embraces the lions circus but the elephant in the room is what comes then

The chatter may mainly come from the British press, but its volume and its rehearsal made it impossible to ignore. On the question of whether the Wallabies are worthy of adversaries for the British and Irish lions before the first test in Brisbane on Saturday. That Australia – in particular without the injured duo Rob Valetini and Will Skelton – brings together a lot, if necessary.

That the mainly unilateral warm -up matches provided the preparation that the Lions would have liked or the deserved spectators. Whether those responsible for the Lions should entertain the interest of continental Europe or South America, before engaging in another tour in Australia in 2037.

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In relation: Lions accused of having blocked Pasifika XV Star in Admissibility Row on Eve of Series

What to do with all the noise, according to Glen Ella, the former Wallaby and now the deputy coach of the First Nations & Pasifika XV? “It’s a lot of shit,” he said this week. “Yes, we have to start winning matches, but we are going to do our best, and I don’t think everything is as dark as people.”

Regarding Doom, the loss of $ 37 million in Australia rugby last year is about as bad as possible. And with regard to gloom, just look at the faces of the Australian players after their group’s cup group 2023 and record loss against Wales. At the time, the Wallabies – twice winners of the World Cup – fell into n ° 10 in the world.

But the last 12 months have represented a turning point for rugby in Australia. The Lions tour should help to release the Australia rugby debt, and the 2027 male World Cup hoped to provide the game more than $ 100 million in cash reserves that can be reinvested. The 2029 women’s World Cup, which will also be held in Australia, and the Brisbane 2032 Olympic Games, where the Sevens teams will compete for the medals, will finish the so-called Golden Decade and provide a firm base for the future of rugby.

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The question is what comes next. The Wallabies – Back this week to a classification of n ° 6 in the world – can they return to their status of the favorite sports team of Australia, as they appreciated in 2003 when Jonny Wilkinson thwarted dreams of the World Cup? Could the Wallaroos, taking out a sheet from the Matildas Game Book,, could they usurp their male counterparts to the eye of the nation when the 2029 World Cup takes place?

Or, at the other end of the spectrum, is there still a place for professional rugby in the heated competition of the whites of the Australian sports market? And what happens to the sport community if the RA adopts a fiscal conservative program? “It will never disappear,” said Ella, offering a feeling of calm. “It’s a global sport, and it’s a fantastic sport that we love.”

To assess whether the Lions would like to return in 2037, commercial realities are impossible to ignore. Australia has vast stadiums and is – for many – a more desirable tour location than South Africa or New Zealand. The entity which administers the Lions, as well as the travel operators connected to the tour, should make twice or even three times more profits in 2025 than for any previous visit.

The director general of the RA, Phil Waugh, estimated that there are more than 40,000 fans of Lions in Australia at the moment, leading the frequentations and making provincial politicians and the tourism and hotel sectors. There have been record crowds in Perth and Adelaide – a new stop on the tour – and taking tickets for the third test will be the highest for any sporting event never held at the Accor stadium in Sydney.

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Under commercial arrangements – many struck during the previous regime of the RA, led by the former very deceased president Hamish McLennan – there are winners from all sides. Lions players have agreed with a profit model for the tour in 2025 for the first time, ensuring that they win about $ 200,000 for six weeks of work. The pure financial power of the tour requires that, even if Australia falls to a humiliating defeat of the series in this time of transition under Joe Schmidt, the Lions will return.

That a future tour can be shorter, with fewer provincial games, or nailed to stops in South America, Japan or the Pacific, will be considered in due time. But the Lions will start the negotiations for the next tour in 2032, just like the Australian renaissance of rugby should peak, and the RA should – in theory – approach the negotiation table from a position of force.

Of course, to speculate in all the details of the world, a decade in the future, in the midst of geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility, is courageous. However, the Australian rugby community is still painful in the waste of generational wealth of the 2003 World Cup. In the wake of rapid turnover, the long term is now the only term in Moore Park and sustainability has become a fashionable word.

RA’s strategy until 2029 has better performance in the field, more participants and increased commercial income. But the Director organ conceded that it had to “prune” the company. With clubs, schools, super rugby franchises, seven programs, representative players and the rugby community in general all desperate to be part of the future of sport, Waugh is faced with its most difficult decision to choose where – and where not – invest.

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The disappearance of Melbourne’s rebels is the most public proof of the world’s vision of the new regime and its reformulated appetite for investment. The closure of the club also remains a painful point for a state that produced the John Eales Valetini medalist and the Center des Lions Sione Tuipulotu.

The president of Rugby Victoria, Elizabeth Radcliffe, said that the largest city in Australia had remained an unexploited rugby resource. “I had conversations with Phil and Dan [Herbert, the RA chair] On this subject and said, “Do you see a future for that [a Melbourne franchise]? And their answer was “yes, but”, and the “but”, of course, do you need financially sustainable, “she said.

But while the Wallabies are preparing to be tested against the Lions, she said that RA could not afford to withdraw. “If you want to build something higher or increase the height of the summum, you must widen the base,” said Radcliffe. “These are only basic engineering principles.”

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